How did the Patriots’ loss to the Chiefs change their draft odds?


A win for the Panthers on Sunday has New England nonetheless on the prowl for the No. 1 total choose in 2024.

New England Patriots head coach reacts to a replay in the second half. The Chiefs defeat the Patriots, 27-17, at Gillette Stadium.
The Patriots are at present projected to select second total within the 2024 NFL Draft. Danielle Parhizkaran / The Boston Globe

After a shock win on the street towards the Pittsburgh Steelers on Dec. 7, the 2023 Patriots got here crashing again all the way down to Earth on Sunday afternoon.

Regardless of one other trademark robust begin for Bailey Zappe and Co., New England ran out of steam because the minutes continued to tick off the clock in its matinee matchup towards the Chiefs.

Together with taking a number of pricey penalties, the Patriots generated simply 57 complete yards of offense within the second half en path to a 27-17 loss towards Kansas Metropolis.

It was one other sobering loss for a Patriots workforce nonetheless caught on the backside of the AFC standings at 3-11.

However with most Patriots followers fixated on the longer term as of late, Sunday’s outcomes supplied up extra excellent news for a New England franchise in determined want of a blue-chip expertise.

Due to that defeat towards Kansas Metropolis and the Arizona Cardinals’ loss to the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday night, New England at present holds regular with the projected No. 2 total choose within the 2024 NFL Draft, per Tankathon.

Because of this, the Patriots stay in prime place to pick a prized QB prospect like USC’s Caleb Williams or UNC’s Drake Maye in April.

Regardless that New England and Arizona each maintain the identical report at 3-11, the Patriots technically maintain the slight edge over the Cardinals within the draft leaderboard, as a consequence of energy of schedule (SOS). The SOS metric serves as a tiebreaker to find out the draft order for groups with equivalent data.

The workforce with the weaker energy of schedule will maintain the upper choose, with New England (.523) holding the sting over the Cardinals (.556).

Nonetheless, energy of schedule is dynamic and may change with every week, relying on the performances of every workforce confronted this yr over the ultimate month of the 2023 season.

Touchdown at the least considered one of Williams or Maye might doubtlessly web New England a foundational franchise QB able to reviving this stagnant offense. However there stands an opportunity that the Patriots can choose between the 2 signal-callers if it lands the No. 1 total choose on this yr’s draft.

Regardless that the Bears (who maintain the Carolina Panthers’ first-round choose) have held courtroom with the projected first-overall choice for a lot of the 2023 season, 2-12 Carolina reeled off an upset win over the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon.

Due to the Panthers’ win and New England’s loss to Kansas Metropolis, the Patriots simply sit one recreation behind Carolina (Chicago) for that first-overall choose.

With New England already booted from playoff competition, there’s little left to play for over these ultimate three video games of the 2023 season for a weary Patriots locker room.

However for a downtrodden Patriots fanbase searching for some silver linings amid a season of distress, three extra losses might put New England in place to sit down atop the draft leaderboard subsequent spring.